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Matt Mitrione FREE Breakdown:
Sergei Kharitonov comes into this one riding high with all the bookies after defeating Roy Nelson, but in age 38 his skills will probably not be improving. Mitrione has the superior technique, power and durability standing which should see him using a reasonable benefit. Kharitonov will be seeking to get the fight down but it will be hard given Mitrione’s superior athleticism. Anticipate a tentative beginning from both guys before Mitrione starts accumulating strikes for a TKO stoppage.
Bet = Mitrione at 1.95 (-105) odds. Risk 3 Units to win 2.85 Units.Francis Ngannou Breakdown:
Cain is coming into this fight after a substantial injury layoff. In fact he has had only 1 victory since Ngannou entered the UFC, having fought 9 occasions himself. With so many question marks on his condition the struggle appears to be lined too wide. Ngannou clearly has huge stopping power and will be very dangerous on the feet early. If Cain has lost a step or comes from looking slow he is in trouble. Historically his style attracts a lot of pressure to opponents but he is open to shooting shots himself, especially when gassed. Both men have paths to success here, Ngannou is able to keep the fight standing and discover an early KO. Cain will wish to avert the early storm and look to wear the bigger man out with takedowns and cage strain. We like the underdog in what seems like a 50/50 battle going in. However, the winner of this fight is likely to seem dominant.
Bet = Ngannou at 2.65 (+165) chances. Risk 2 Units to win 3.3 Units.
James Vick Breakdown:
Vick’s stock is at an all time low after his latest KO but his run to the top was remarkable. In this matchup he will function as superior technical fighter with the duration and speed benefit. Felder has a propensity to mirror his opponent but he will have to turn this one into a brawl to find success. It’s possible he connects with a kill shot, but the rest of the avenues to success have been in Vick’s favour. Felder takes a close range fight to use his very best weapons but Vick has revealed he can stick into a gameplan and keep it in range. We enjoy the line on Vick to cruise to victory with a clinical decision.
Bet = Vick in 1.91 (-110) odds. Risk 3 Units to acquire 2.73 Units.
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