The Coca-Cola 600 will get underway at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday on FOX, with Kyle Busch as the clear favorite (+250 gambling odds).
Kevin Harvick (+600) and Martin Truex Jr. (+600) are not too far behind in what’s going to be the greatest race of this year.
Nick Giffen uses his statistical model to disability that the four best futures values in the race.
For the second consecutive weekend, the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series will be racing at Charlotte Motor Speedwday (6:00 p.m. ET, FOX). But this time rather than an All-Star shootout, drivers are in for a grueling 600 miles in the Cup Series’ longest race of the year.
Charlotte is a 1.5-mile oblong with a comparatively old surface that was repaved back in 2006. We saw in the All-Star race that tires did make a difference and track position was also extremely important, so this race ought to provide a great blend of numerous 1.5-mile tracks.
The latest 1.5-mile points-paying race was also a night race in Kansas Speedwday. In that race, the top five at average green-flag speed all showed up at the top nine at 15-lap rate in Happy Hour, regardless of the race being at night and final practice throughout the day.
We have a similar scenario at Charlotte this weekend, so I’ll certainly rely on long-run speed along with 1.5-mile performance this year and beyond Charlotte oval functionality when handicapping the race.
Armed with these data points, let’s get right into my four favorite bets to win tonight’s race, also bonus top-five and top-10 props.
A fast primer on the odds below: A $100 wager at +375 chances would gain $375, while a $200 bet at -200 chances would cover $100.
Kevin Harvick +600 to Win
Kyle Busch is your preferred thanks to his outstanding rate in Happy Hour and three wins to Harvick’s zero wins this year. However, it might be argued that Harvick should be a co-favorite despite completing only 13th on the 10-lap plank in final practice.
That’s because in opening practice, he had been much better relative to the rest of the field over 10 consecutive laps. His fifth-place time during the warmer temperatures is encouraging. In fact, Harvick’s Crew Chief Rodney Childers said the cars are really sensitive to track changes, and that they were really good in opening clinic throughout the cooler temperatures.
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